{"id":10041,"date":"2026-09-29T11:40:46","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T11:40:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/?p=10041"},"modified":"2026-09-29T13:50:04","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T13:50:04","slug":"trumps-handling-of-the-iran-war-from-bad-to-worse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/trumps-handling-of-the-iran-war-from-bad-to-worse\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s Handling of the Iran War: from Bad to Worse"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Daniel Butcher<\/a><\/p>\n

Since a joint U.S. and Israeli airstrike killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran on February 28, 2026, oil and gas prices have sharply risen, and Iran appears to be in a stronger position than it was before the war began. In retrospect, it seems that U.S. President Donald Trump and his Secretary of Defense (or War), Pete Hegseth, did not have clear objectives or an exit strategy\u2014and many Republican members of Congress are saying war and high gas prices are hurting their chances of being reelected in the 2026 midterm election.<\/p>\n

According to Academy of Management Scholar Jeffrey Sonnenfeld<\/a> of the Yale School of Management, who moderated the panel \u201cThe Framers of 1776 vs. The Nation\u2019s Leadership In 2026; Is the Vision Now Vivid or Blurred?<\/a>\u201d at the 2026 AOM Annual Meeting in Philadelphia, it is likely that Trump approved bombing Iran as a way to distract people from the Epstein files Sonnenfeld is also a coauthor, with Steven Tian of Yale, of the book Trump\u2019s Ten Commandments: Strategic Lessons from the Trump Leadership Toolbox<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n

\u201cAfter the oil and gas company executives didn\u2019t back him up on his rationale for his Venezuela intervention, he gets the idea of Iran,\u201d Sonnenfeld said. \u201cNow, nobody\u2019s saying that Iran having enriched uranium is a good thing or the IRGC [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] or any of the religious zealots in Iran should have power as they\u2019re threatening their Persian Gulf neighbors and others, but still, the Iran war has been a disaster.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhen you have your naval assets in the Caribbean and in the South Pacific, you\u2019re not ready to occupy Kharg Island, where most of Iran\u2019s oil production is, or to enter the mainland of Iran and take over the deeply embedded uranium, which is stored in heavily fortified underground complexes and deep tunnel networks,\u201d he said. \u201cSo, we opted for a military attack that was well executed, given the resources they had, but they weren’t lined up for the next step or a prolonged war\u2014it was Trump\u2019s pivot again, just to try to change the subject, and now he\u2019s caught in this quagmire in the quicksand.<\/p>\n

\u201cHe can’t get out of it, and he\u2019s undermining some of the great triumphs of Trump 1.0.\u201d<\/p>\n

What\u2019s that? A Trump critic giving him credit for some of his accomplishments during his first term in office? In addition to COVID-19 vaccines, the Abraham Accords reshaped Middle Eastern diplomacy by normalizing relations between Israel and several Arab nations, including the UAE, Bahrain, and Morocco. The historic framework, announced in September 2020, suspended Israel\u2019s planned West Bank annexation, generated billions in bilateral trade, and integrated Israel into U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) to enable unprecedented regional security and intelligence coordination.<\/p>\n

\u201cYou have to give credit where credit is due: Operation Warp Speed produced the COVID-19 vaccines in less than a year, and then there was the great success of the Abraham Accords, where I actually helped him\u2014Jared [Kushner] had me go over to Bahrain and work with the Middle Eastern and European leaders who helped and joined the negotiations to bring about that agreement,\u201d Sonnenfeld said. \u201cBut he\u2019s undermining the confidence that our Arab allies have in us as they feel vulnerable now, and even Israel sees President Trump throwing them under the bus by offering Iran certain concessions.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhat is he doing by bombing Iranian attack points in the most half-hearted fashion? It\u2019s attack, retreat, attack, retreat, and he\u2019s made these nonsensical statements about how we\u2019ve destroyed their military and they can\u2019t attack us anymore, and they keep attacking our ships and our Gulf allies, and with the Straits of Hormuz being closed off, they\u2019re now making more money than they did before,\u201d he said. \u201cAnd for Trump 1.0, another great triumph was when he shut the spigot off\u2014they produced 5 million barrels of oil a day and were selling 3 million of it. He cut it down to basically zero. Now it\u2019s up to 2 million barrels that they\u2019re selling a day, so they\u2019re making $40 billion a year just on oil they didn\u2019t have before he attacked them.<\/p>\n

\u201cBut now Iran has shut off the Straits of Hormuz and nobody else is getting through. As a result, Iran is making another $12 billion or $15 billion at least from tolling on the few ships it lets through. So, it now has this flow of around $60 billion coming its way, on top of what Trump was offering in a deal, $300 billion of frozen funds\u2014this is way worse than the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), widely known as the 2015 Iran nuclear deal negotiated under the Obama administration, which some people criticized.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Daniel Butcher Since a joint U.S. and Israeli airstrike killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran on February 28, 2026, oil and gas prices have sharply risen, and Iran appears to be in a stronger position than it was before the war began. In retrospect, it seems that U.S. President Donald Trump and […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":9911,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[71,29,19,78],"tags":[],"sp_smart_badges":[],"ppma_author":[70],"class_list":["post-10041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-communicating","category-emotions","category-leadership","category-policy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTrump\u2019s Handling of the Iran War: from Bad to Worse - Academy of Management Today<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Since a joint U.S. and Israeli airstrike killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran on February 28, 2026, oil and gas prices have sharply risen, and Iran appears to be in a stronger position than it was before the war began. 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You can reach him at dbutcher@aom.org or via LinkedIn.","sameAs":["https:\/\/aomtodayprod.wpenginepowered.com","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/danielbutcher"],"url":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/author\/daniel-butcher\/"}]}},"authors":[{"term_id":70,"user_id":4,"is_guest":0,"slug":"daniel-butcher","display_name":"Daniel Butcher","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/DanButcher_Academy-of-Management.webp","url2x":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/DanButcher_Academy-of-Management.webp"},"author_category":"1","first_name":"Daniel","last_name":"Butcher","user_url":"https:\/\/aomtodayprod.wpenginepowered.com","job_title":"Managing Editor, AOM Today, Academy of Management","description":"Daniel Butcher is a writer and the Managing Editor of AOM Today at the Academy of Management (AOM). Previously, he was a writer and the Finance Editor for <i>Strategic Finance<\/i> magazine and <i>Management Accounting Quarterly<\/i>, a scholarly journal, at the Institute of Management Accountants (IMA). Prior to that, he worked as a writer\/editor at <i>The Financial Times,<\/i> including daily FT sister publications <i>Ignites<\/i> and <i>FundFire<\/i>, as well as Crain Communications\u2019s <i>InvestmentNews<\/i> and <i>Crain\u2019s Wealth<\/i>, eFinancialCareers, and Arizent\u2019s <i>Financial Planning, Re:Invent|Wealth, On Wall Street, Bank Investment Consultant<\/i>, and <i>Money Management Executive<\/i>. He earned his bachelor\u2019s degree, Cum Laude, from the University of Colorado Boulder and his master\u2019s degree from New York University. You can reach him at <a href=\"mailto:dbutcher@aom.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dbutcher@aom.org<\/a> or via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/danielbutcher\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LinkedIn<\/a>."}],"rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-scaled.jpg",2560,1707,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-scaled.jpg",2560,1707,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-scaled.jpg",2560,1707,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"large":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-1024x683.jpg",800,534,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-1536x1024.jpg",1536,1024,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-2048x1365.jpg",2048,1365,true],"owl_elementor_thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-600x400.jpg",600,400,true],"owl_elementor_team":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-350x450.jpg",350,450,true],"owl_elementor_testimonial":["https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/US-President-Donald-Trump-is-seen-behind-United-States-of-America-flag-displayed-on-screens-Turin-Italy-100x100.jpg",100,100,true]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"Daniel Butcher","author_link":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/author\/daniel-butcher\/"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/category\/communicating\/\" rel=\"category tag\">COMMUNICATING<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/category\/emotions\/\" rel=\"category tag\">EMOTIONS<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/category\/leadership\/\" rel=\"category tag\">LEADERSHIP<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/category\/policy\/\" rel=\"category tag\">POLICY<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"By Daniel Butcher Since a joint U.S. and Israeli airstrike killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran on February 28, 2026, oil and gas prices have sharply risen, and Iran appears to be in a stronger position than it was before the war began. In retrospect, it seems that U.S. President Donald Trump and…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10041"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10041\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10051,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10041\/revisions\/10051"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9911"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10041"},{"taxonomy":"sp_smart_badges","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sp_smart_badges?post=10041"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aom.org\/today\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=10041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}